Strait of Hormuz
Commercial access will probably remain unstable in the near term: intermittent vessel movement would not establish durable normalization while confirmed attacks continue and MARAD rates the risk to commercial shipping as high.
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Commercial access will probably remain unstable in the near term: intermittent vessel movement would not establish durable normalization while confirmed attacks continue and MARAD rates the risk to commercial shipping as high.
Daily PLA activity remains persistent. The immediate pattern looks coercive, while the accumulated tempo compresses warning time.
NOAA favors a below-normal Atlantic season, but Gulf energy concentration means one direct strike could still create outsized business disruption.
Play remains a material business threat through valid accounts, exposed applications, and unpatched remote-management tooling.
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